Caveat with COVID TestingIn general, tests are good at saying that someone is positive for COVID, but really bad in saying that someone is negative for COVID.Jan 9, 2022Jan 9, 2022
On Sinovac: Appraisal of Phase III Trial Data — Brazil ArmWith the release of the preprint of the Phase III trial of Sinovac in Brazil (PROFISCOV) and several press releases, there are many…Apr 14, 2021Apr 14, 2021
Problems with Meta-Analysis on Ivermectin and Other TreatmentsSome of you may encounter a website* containing early meta-analyses of different treatments, such as Ivermectin, Zinc, Vitamin C, Vitamin…Mar 30, 2021Mar 30, 2021
Systemic Risk of Pandemic Via Novel Pathogens: Commentary, Part 6 of 6 (Conclusion and Synthesis)One year has passed and there are still secrets and properties of SARS-CoV-2 that are yet to be unlocked. We don’t know what the long-term…Mar 5, 2021Mar 5, 2021
Systemic Risk of Pandemic Via Novel Pathogens: Commentary, Part 5 of 6This part indicts governments and naive policymakers:Feb 24, 2021Feb 24, 2021
Systemic Risk of Pandemic Via Novel Pathogens: Commentary, Part 4 of 6Next, we deal with problems in epidemiological metrics:Feb 23, 2021Feb 23, 2021
Systemic Risk of Pandemic Via Novel Pathogens: Commentary, Part 3 of 6The next part of the note deals with naive evidence-based medicine and naive evidence-based public health:Feb 20, 2021Feb 20, 2021
Systemic Risk of Pandemic Via Novel Pathogens: Commentary, Part 2 of 6The next part of the note exemplifies a principle that major governments and organizations around the world neglected:Feb 7, 2021Feb 7, 2021
Systemic Risk of Pandemic Via Novel Pathogens: Commentary, Part 1 of 6Last year January 26, 2020, Taleb wrote this note BEFORE COVID-19 became recognized by the World Health Organization as a pandemic in…Feb 1, 2021Feb 1, 2021
Complexity Standpoint: Should children be allowed to go back to schools or to shopping centers?Each of us is connected in a network. The degree and clustering coefficient shows how connected we are to our families. The centrality…Jan 25, 2021Jan 25, 2021
